Results of last Presidential election poll - Yanukovych is a champion!

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Poll lead by Razumkov Center at the end of July shows following results:

1st round: 2nd round 2nd round 2nd round
Yanukovych – 22% Yanukovych – 40% Yanukovych – 38% Yacenuk – 32%
Tymoshenko – 13% Tymoshenko – 28% Yacenuk – 34% Tymoshenko – 23%
Yacenuk – 11%      

Yanukovych improved his rating almost per 5% since the last poll. Yushchenko and Symonenko have stable rating around 4%. Lytvyn enjoys only 3% of voters support. Yacenuk has bigger support in Western Ukraine than Tymoshenko (21% Vs 19%). Tymoshenko still enjoys support in Central Ukraine (18% against 12% of Yanukovych and Yacenuk who have equal support).

At the same time only 23% of Ukrainians firmly decided to whom to give their votes (12% - Yanukovych, 6% - Tymoshenko, 5% - Yacenuk). 

Conclusions:

  • Yanukovych’s rating is growing and he most likely would win Presidential elections;
  • Yacenuk has better chances to bit Yanukovych than Tymoshenko because he is perceived as an alternative to old political leaders; Tymoshenko is not (see Yacenuk Vs Tymoshenko);
  • Taking into account ¾ of Ukrainian who can change their mind at the very last moment it is quite difficult to predict result of this Presidential campaign with 100% certainty – election campaign and development of economic situation in Ukraine will really matter.